BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Air Force

Class: 1A Class Rank: 91 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength =  146.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   160.32  62   0   1B 119 (  0- 11) VMI                    12.66 *   49.34                      
  2 09/16/2017 Away    L   154.69  13  29   1A  24 (  8-  5) Michigan                7.03    -23.03                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L * 152.44  24  28   1A  54 ( 10-  3) San Diego St            4.78     -8.78                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L * 122.10  38  56   1A 112 (  3-  9) New Mexico            -25.56      7.56                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L   159.80  45  48   1A  47 (  7-  6) Navy                   12.13    -15.13                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 144.24  34  30   1A 103 (  5-  7) UNLV                   -3.43      7.43                      
  7 10/20/2017 Away    W * 149.44  45  42   1A  95 (  3-  9) Nevada                  1.77      1.23                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 170.69  45  28   1A  79 (  7-  6) Colorado St            23.02     -6.02                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L   133.13   0  21   1A  57 ( 10-  3) Army                  -14.54     -6.46                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 134.81  14  28   1A  72 (  8-  5) Wyoming               -12.85     -1.15                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 139.26  19  44   1A  43 ( 11-  3) Boise St               -8.40    -16.60                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    W * 151.04  38  35   1A  73 (  6-  7) Utah St                 3.38     -0.38                      
      Averages             147.66  31.4 32.4

Best game:  170.69 = 17 point win over Colorado St
Worst game: 122.10 = 18 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev:  13.61